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Donald Trump’s potential return to the White House is expected to dramatically alter U.S. foreign policy, with significant shifts in multiple areas amidst global instability.
Throughout his campaign, Trump emphasized principles of non-interventionism and trade protectionism, championing an “America First” approach. His victory could trigger one of the most profound changes in Washington’s foreign relations in years.
Trump’s policy outlook can be partially understood through his campaign promises and past actions between 2017 and 2021.
Russia, Ukraine, and NATO
Trump claimed he could end the Russia-Ukraine war “in a day” but was vague on how. His former national security advisors suggested that U.S. support for Ukraine should be conditioned on peace talks, with promises to delay Ukraine’s NATO membership as a bargaining tool to entice Russia. While some critics argue this stance undermines European security, Trump insists his priority is ending the war and reducing U.S. resource commitments. His stance on NATO is similarly uncertain—though a skeptic of the alliance, some believe his rhetoric may merely be a tactic to push NATO members to meet defense spending targets.
The Middle East
Trump’s “peace” strategy in the Middle East remains unclear. He asserts that his tough stance on Iran, including withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal and supporting Israel, would have prevented the Israel-Hamas conflict. His administration was strongly pro-Israel, earning support from evangelicals but alienating Palestinians. His approach may involve pressuring Israel while leveraging relationships with Arab leaders to help mediate the situation.
China and Trade
Trump’s approach to China, focused on trade protectionism, positioned China as a “strategic competitor” and led to tariffs on Chinese imports. While the Biden administration maintained some of these tariffs, Trump may return to a more combative stance, focusing on economic pressure rather than strengthening regional security alliances to counter China’s rise. His remarks on China, including threats of tariffs and military responses regarding Taiwan, highlight his aggressive approach to containing Beijing.
Trump’s foreign policy will likely prioritize economic interests and military disengagement, redefining U.S. global leadership with a focus on national sovereignty and strategic interests.
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