WASHINGTON (Associated Press) — President Joe Biden has emphasized that only divine intervention could sway him from the presidential race. Nevertheless, should circumstances change, Vice President Kamala Harris emerges as the strongest contender to succeed him.
Harris holds a significant advantage over other potential Democratic candidates like California Governor Gavin Newsom and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer. Having already won as part of Biden’s presidential ticket, Harris enjoys widespread support among core party constituencies and would likely inherit a substantial campaign war chest from Biden’s reelection efforts. Here’s a closer examination of her prospects in a hypothetical primary:
Strong Endorsement from Biden: Harris would naturally receive Biden’s backing, despite delegate transfer restrictions at the upcoming Democratic National Convention. Many delegates have already pledged their loyalty to Harris, potentially averting contentious floor battles detrimental to the party’s unity.
Challenging Harris is Risky: As the first woman, first Black woman, and first person of South Asian descent to serve as Vice President, Harris commands immense support from African American voters, a crucial and loyal Democratic demographic. Any challenge to her candidacy could be perceived as undermining historic strides in gender and racial equality, risking lasting repercussions in future primaries.
Limited Rush for Alternatives: While several Democratic figures have been floated as potential replacements, including Whitmer, Newsom, and others, there has been minimal overt campaigning for alternatives at this stage. The prospect of a Biden departure would likely catalyze more active campaigning and competition among potential successors.
Financial Advantage: Harris would have access to substantial campaign funds, including the $91 million currently available from Biden’s campaign, augmented by allied Democratic organizations. This financial edge could prove decisive in a swift transition.
Legal Background and Public Perception: A former prosecutor known for her adeptness in debates, Harris’s legal background and political acumen align closely with current Democratic Party ideals. Despite challenges, she faces improving her approval ratings, particularly among Black Americans, where she currently holds a solid 62% favorability rating.
In summary, while Biden remains steadfast in his candidacy, Harris stands poised as his natural successor, backed by her achievements, demographics, and strategic advantages within the Democratic Party.